Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AVIANCA ECUADOR · FLIGHT 2K 7396
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
2K 7396 · UIO → JFK
departs 10:33 PM -05 · arrives 5:55 AM ET
Your aircraft is N776AV (A20N), coming in as 2K 7397 from JFK: still at JFK, due off about 5:47 AM ET, 714 min before departure.
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Wed 10/28 11%
Thu 10/29 18%
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 26%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JFK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave UIO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at JFK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to JFK?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
JFK is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at UIO
Weather at each end
UIO (origin)
Gusts 8 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
JFK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.