Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AEROMÉXICO CONNECT · FLIGHT 5D 979 LANDED 2:21 PM CST, ~7 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

5D 979 · ATL → MTY

took off 1:41 PM ET · landed 2:21 PM CST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MTY more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ ATL is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from ATL are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ATL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MTY (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

5D 979 · ATL → MTY

Odds over time