9E 4960 · LIT → LGA

departs 7:26 AM CT · arrives 11:27 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ LIT is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LIT

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LIT (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 4960 · LIT → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?