Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1119 LANDED 1:19 PM MT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 1119 · BIL → GGW

took off 11:15 AM MT · landed 1:19 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at GGW more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at OLF that day

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into OLF at that hour are usually not late

↓ 10am departures from BIL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

GGW (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1119 · BIL → GGW

Odds over time