Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1221 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 1221 · BOS → PVC

departs 5:44 PM ET · arrives 5:58 PM ET

Your aircraft is N810BW (C402), coming in as 9K 2341 from PVC: still at PVC, due off about 4:11 PM ET, 59 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at PVC more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PVC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1221 · BOS → PVC

Odds over time