Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 1226 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 1226 · ACK → HYA

departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 5:58 PM ET

Your aircraft is N411CA (P212), coming in as 9K 1226 from BOS: landed 4:53 PM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at HYA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from ACK are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ACK

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ACK (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling4,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

HYA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 1226 · ACK → HYA

Odds over time