Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 155 LANDED 3:25 PM ET, ~6 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 155 · JFK → SLK

took off 1:51 PM ET · landed 3:25 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at SLK more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ JFK is busy at that time

↑ 1pm departures from JFK are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at JFK

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

JFK (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLK (destination) Gusts1 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 155 · JFK → SLK

Odds over time