Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 32 LANDED 4:04 PM ET, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 32 · HYA → MVY

took off 3:47 PM ET · landed 4:04 PM ET (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at MVY more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at HYA

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HYA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MVY (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 32 · HYA → MVY

Odds over time