Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 5050 LANDED 11:54 AM AST, ~14 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 5050 · SJU → NEV

took off · landed 11:54 AM AST (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at NEV more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ SJU is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into NEV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

SJU (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

NEV (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 5050 · SJU → NEV

Odds over time