Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 80 LANDED 1:46 PM MT, ~15 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 80 · BIL → SDY

took off 12:24 PM MT · landed 1:46 PM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SDY more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at SDY

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into SDY at that hour are usually not late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BIL

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts29 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

SDY (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 80 · BIL → SDY

Odds over time