Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 8380 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 8380 · BOS → AUG

departs 9:18 AM ET · arrives 10:13 AM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at AUG more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ BOS is busy at that time

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Arrivals into AUG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AUG (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 8380 · BOS → AUG

Odds over time