Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

CAPE AIR · FLIGHT 9K 860 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9K 860 · BOS → BHB

departs 6:04 PM ET · arrives 7:15 PM ET

Your aircraft is N3292M (C402), coming in as 9K 1838 from BHB: still at BHB, due off about 2:35 PM ET, 115 min before departure.

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at BHB more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BOS that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BHB (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9K 860 · BOS → BHB

Odds over time