Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 453 LANDED 10:37 AM CT, ~12 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9X 453 · BNA → JBR

took off 9:26 AM CT · landed 10:37 AM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at JBR more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 10am departures from BNA are often late

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Arrivals into JBR at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BNA (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

JBR (destination) Gusts2 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 453 · BNA → JBR

Odds over time