Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 540 LANDED 8:10 AM HT, ~1 MIN EARLY

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9X 540 · HNL → MKK

took off 7:50 AM HT · landed 8:10 AM HT (scheduled 7:42 AM HT → 8:18 AM HT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at MKK more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MKK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Arrivals into MKK at that hour are usually not late

↓ 7am departures from HNL are usually not late

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.66 in

MKK (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.52 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 540 · HNL → MKK

Odds over time

How late did it get to MKK?