Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 5910
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
9X 5910 · LNY → HNL
departs 10:29 PM HT · arrives 11:16 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
32%
chance · ±0 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
32%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Leave LNY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at HNL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HNL?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at HNL that day
↑
Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LNY that day
↑
Arrivals into HNL at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
10pm departures from LNY are usually not late
Weather at each end
LNY (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.07 in
HNL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.