Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 722
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
9X 722 · OGG → HNM
departs 4:19 PM HT · arrives 5:04 PM HT
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at HNM more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HNM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave OGG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at HNM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to HNM?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at OGG
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at HNM that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Arrivals into HNM at that hour are usually not late
↓
HNM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OGG (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.28 in
HNM (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.