Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 8020
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 27 Today
9X 8020 · JBR → MEM
departs 7:23 PM CT · arrives 8:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
9%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
9%
Leave 15+ late
10%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Leave JBR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Arrive at MEM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MEM?
On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at JBR
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MEM
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
JBR (origin)
Gusts 2 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MEM (destination)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.