Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 809 LANDED 11:13 AM MT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9X 809 · IPL → PHX

took off 9:54 AM PT · landed 11:13 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at IPL

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ 9am departures from IPL are usually not late

Weather at each end

IPL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 809 · IPL → PHX

Odds over time