Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SOUTHERN AIRWAYS EXPRESS · FLIGHT 9X 998 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27 Today

9X 998 · MKK → LUP

departs 7:00 AM HT · arrives 7:07 AM HT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 6h after departure

Arrive at LUP more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at MKK that day

↑ Other factors

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into LUP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MKK (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.52 in

LUP (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9X 998 · MKK → LUP

Odds over time