tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1242 IN THE AIR (OFF 12:15 AM MT, ETA 7:24 AM ET)
Today

AA 1242 · PHX → PHL

took off 12:15 AM MT · expected to land 7:24 AM ET (scheduled 12:05 AM MT → 7:45 AM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.1d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.