tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1478 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 2:58 PM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

AA 1478 · FLL → PHL

departs 2:35 PM ET · arrives 5:32 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 14h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
34% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    65%
  2. 15–30 min late
    8%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    4%
  6. Cancelled
    16%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.