tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 169 IN THE AIR (OFF 1:13 AM PT, ETA 4:23 AM JST)
Today

AA 169 · LAX → HND

took off 1:13 AM PT · expected to land 4:23 AM JST (scheduled 12:57 AM PT → 4:57 AM JST)
Forecast issued Tue 6:00 AM ET · 2h after departure
Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?
0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Now Lands

How late will it get to HND?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.