AA 1814 · LGA → ORD

departs 10:19 AM ET · arrives 12:01 PM CT

Your aircraft is N867NN (B738), coming in as AA 2036 from CLT: landed 8:32 AM ET.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10am departures from LGA are often late

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1814 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?