AA 1902 · DFW → OKC

left the gate 9:03 AM CT · taxiing (scheduled 9:02 AM CT → 10:14 AM CT)

Your aircraft is N860NN (B738), coming in as AA 1721 from CLE: landed 7:29 AM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts −7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1902 · DFW → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?