Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2798 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AA 2798 · DFW → FLL

departs 2:50 PM CT · arrives 6:48 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at FLL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to FLL?

On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 34 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at FLL that day

↑ Arrivals into FLL at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

FLL (destination) Gusts35 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.40 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2798 · DFW → FLL

Odds over time

How late will it get to FLL?