AA 2924 · DFW → LGA

departs 8:26 AM CT · arrives 1:01 PM ET

Your aircraft is N575UW (A321), coming in as AA 2210 from PHX: landed 9:23 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

21% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LGA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2924 · DFW → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?