AA 3085 · DFW → MCO

departs 5:56 AM CT · arrives 9:36 AM ET

Your aircraft is N842NN (B738), coming in as AA 2092 from LGA: landed 10:42 PM CT.

Forecast issued Tue 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

36% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts33 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3085 · DFW → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?