AA 3285 · DEN → DFW

departs 6:21 AM MT · arrives 9:26 AM CT

Your aircraft is N953XV (A21N), coming in as AA 577 from DFW: landed 9:24 PM MT.

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.13 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from DEN are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.13 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3285 · DEN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?