Schedule: FAA flight plans.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 478
DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 11:07 AM ET (15 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today
AA 478 · PHL → PHX
departs 10:43 AM ET · arrives 1:02 PM MT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to PHX?
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On time or early
88%
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15–30 min late
6%
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30 min–1 hour late
3%
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1–2 hours late
2%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.