tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 539 IN THE AIR (OFF 6:19 AM ET, ETA 8:26 AM ET)
Today

AA 539 · TPA → LGA

took off 6:19 AM ET · expected to land 8:26 AM ET (scheduled 5:56 AM ET → 8:46 AM ET)
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
<1% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.2d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

LIVE
  1. On time or early
    100%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    0%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.