AA 615 · AUS → DFW

took off 12:08 PM CT · landed 12:49 PM CT (scheduled 11:30 AM CT → 12:47 PM CT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 615 · AUS → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?