tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 781 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today

AA 781 · NAP → PHL

departs 11:57 AM CET · arrives 4:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.