AA 813 · DFW → EWR

departs 12:08 PM CT · arrives 4:46 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 12pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 813 · DFW → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?