Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1018 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AC 1018 · SAT → YYZ

departs 8:49 AM CT · arrives 1:21 PM EDT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YYZ?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ AC's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ 8am departures from SAT are usually not late

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 1018 · SAT → YYZ

Odds over time

How late will it get to YYZ?