Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA · FLIGHT AC 1077 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AC 1077 · YYZ → SAN

departs 9:59 AM EDT · arrives 12:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±1 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 9am departures from YYZ are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YYZ (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAN (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 1077 · YYZ → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?