AC 1513 · EWR → YYZ

took off 8:46 PM ET · landed 9:48 PM EDT (scheduled 8:30 PM ET → 10:05 PM EDT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at YYZ more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to YYZ?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 8pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YYZ (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 1513 · EWR → YYZ

Odds over time

How late did it get to YYZ?