AC 551 · LAX → YVR

departs 7:16 AM PT · arrives 10:19 AM PDT

Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

9% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YVR?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at YVR that day

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 551 · LAX → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?