AC 554 · YVR → LAX

took off 1:52 PM PDT · landed 4:15 PM PT (scheduled 1:40 PM PDT → 4:29 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to LAX?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 554 · YVR → LAX

Odds over time

How late did it get to LAX?