AC 559 · LAX → YVR

took off 5:57 PM PT · expected to land 8:25 PM PDT (scheduled 6:10 PM PT → 9:17 PM PDT)

Forecast issued Tue 8:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at YVR more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to YVR?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from LAX are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

YVR (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AC 559 · LAX → YVR

Odds over time

How late will it get to YVR?