tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 74 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

AF 74 · CDG → RDU

departs 1:09 PM CET · arrives 4:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 11h after departure
Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±2 pts +8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.3d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to RDU?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    16%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    <1%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.