Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR FRANCE · FLIGHT AF 75 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 27 Today

AF 75 · RDU → CDG

departs 6:17 PM ET · arrives 6:45 AM CET

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at CDG more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to CDG?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 6pm departures from RDU are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

RDU (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CDG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AF 75 · RDU → CDG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CDG?