Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2617 LANDED 11:41 PM PT, ~9 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Tuesday, October 27

AS 2617 · SBD → PDX

took off 9:43 PM PT · landed 11:41 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at PDX that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SBD (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PDX (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2617 · SBD → PDX

Odds over time