Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 2749 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Tuesday, October 27

AS 2749 · HNL → ONT

took off 8:04 PM HT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 10:29 PM HT → 7:01 AM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ ONT is prone to delays

↓ 10pm departures from HNL are usually not late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

HNL (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

ONT (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 2749 · HNL → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?