Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 20, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 501SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
AS 501 · SFO → SAN
departs 6:59 AM PT · arrives 8:38 AM PT
Forecast issued Tue 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
10%chance · ±0 pts+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREHigh. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.