AS 55 · ANC → SCC

took off 5:49 AM AKT · landed 7:21 AM AKT (scheduled 5:44 AM AKT → 7:30 AM AKT)

Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at SCC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SCC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SCC that day

↑ Other factors

↓ 5am departures from ANC are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SCC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 55 · ANC → SCC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SCC?