AS 65 · WRG → PSG

took off 10:30 AM AKDT · landed 10:42 AM AKDT (scheduled 10:21 AM AKDT → 10:43 AM AKDT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at PSG more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PSG?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↓ 10am departures from WRG are usually not late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

WRG (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

PSG (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling1,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 65 · WRG → PSG

Odds over time

How late did it get to PSG?