tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 828 LANDED 7:38 PM HT, ~32 MIN EARLY

AS 828 · SAN → HNL

took off 5:06 PM PT · landed 7:38 PM HT (scheduled 5:14 PM PT → 8:29 PM HT)
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?
Not late chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    ✓
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    –
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.