AS 86 · ANC → SCC

took off 3:47 PM AKT · landed 5:18 PM AKT (scheduled 3:34 PM AKT → 5:19 PM AKT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 3h after departure

Arrive at SCC more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SCC?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi forecast at ANC that day

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at SCC that day

↑ Other factors

↓ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ANC (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precipnone

SCC (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 86 · ANC → SCC

Odds over time

How late did it get to SCC?