AS 888 · LAX → HNL

took off 9:24 PM PT · landed 12:01 AM HT (scheduled 8:38 PM PT → 11:44 PM HT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to HNL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at HNL that day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from LAX are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LAX (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.42 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 888 · LAX → HNL

Odds over time

How late did it get to HNL?