Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 934 PROBABLY LANDED (THE FAA HASN'T CONFIRMED THE LANDING TIME)

Tuesday, October 27

AS 934 · OGG → LAX

took off 2:54 PM HT · probably landed (not confirmed) (scheduled 3:00 PM HT → 11:07 PM PT)

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 2h after departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 35% of the time recently

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at OGG that day

↑ Arrivals into LAX at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAX

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

OGG (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.23 in

LAX (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 934 · OGG → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?